Population data released from 1990 to 2010, the world's aging population countries average growth rate of 2.5%, China 3.3%. The aging process in developed countries for decades to a hundred years, 115 years such as France, the United States 60, Germany 40, Japan for 24 years, and China in just 18 years. China's aging so ferocious, it is due in the end what is the reason? According to population studies to determine the degree of aging are the two most important reason - life expectancy and fertility levels. Japan is the rapid aging of a typical complex reasons, one of the main reasons is longevity. 2010 Japanese life expectancy of 83 years, 20 years in the world. But Chinese people's life expectancy is only 76 years old, long in the middle and lower levels in the world, and its influence in the aging process is also relatively low. Look fertility, the answer is not self evident. Since 1991, China's total fertility rate has been 24 years in a row below the generation replacement level. 2010 sixth census showed that Chinese total fertility rate of only 1.18. However, it is felt that the data exist false negatives. Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Institute of Population and Labor Economics Population forecast expert Wang Guangzhou with Beijing University CFPS2010 (Chinese family dynamic follow-up survey), survey data Chinese Academy of Social Sciences and other institutions of the sixth census data are reviewed to determine the total fertility rate at around 1.4. According to 'Business News' interview, 1.4 is currently the majority of the population recognized scholar total fertility rate levels. Some scholars believe that there may be lower than the actual total fertility rate of 1.4. According to demographic criteria, the total fertility rate below 1.5 means that low fertility has fallen into the trap. Japanese demographers Yoshikami bluntly, China's aging population is increasing due to the one-child policy. Indeed, despite urbanization, delay childbearing so depressed fertility rates, but the one-child policy is still a major source of low fertility. According to Six P 2010, the proportion of the total population of China 0-14-year-olds was only 16.6%, down 6.29 percentage points from a decade ago, it has been in a serious declining birthrate level. Birth of a child less, and life expectancy is growing, aging naturally intensified. With respect to the generation replacement level of 2.2, 1.4 total fertility rate means that every generation (25 to 30 years)
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